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Tag:Bracketology
Posted on: March 11, 2012 1:41 am
 

Lobofan2003 Bracketology Sat. Night

It is now past midnight here in the Central time zone, so I can say that today is Selection Sunday! It was a great Championship Saturday with many teams locking up bids.

It was really hard to decide the last couple of teams in, I feel like any of the last four teams out could sneak into the Tournament if the Committee has the inclination to put them in. Remember that my bracket tries to replicate what I think the NCAA Committee will do and not necessarily who I think deserves to be in the field.
Auto Bids are in CAPS. The winner of the Midwest Region will play the winner of the West Region; the winner of the East Region will play the winner of the South Region.

St. Louis (M)
Louisville (Th, Sa)
1 KENTUCKY
16 MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE/VERMONT

8 Kansas State
9 Connecticut

Albuquerque (Th, Sa)
5 MURRAY STATE
12 Colorado State

4 Florida State
13 OHIO

Nashville (Fr, Su)
3 Michigan
14 MONTANA

6 Temple
11 HARVARD

Omaha (Fr, Su)
7 ST. MARY'S
10 West Virginia

2 Kansas
15 DETROIT

Phoenix (W)
Omaha (Fr, Su)
1 MISSOURI
16 LAMAR/WESTERN KENTUCKY

8 Gonzaga
9 Alabama

Portland, OR (Th, Sa)
5 NEW MEXICO
12 South Florida/Miami

4 Wisconsin
13 COLORADO

Louisville (Th, Sa)
3 Marquette
14 BELMONT

6 Florida
11 Seton Hall

Pittsburgh (Th, Sa)
7 MEMPHIS
10 Virginia

2 Ohio State
15 LOYOLA-MARYLAND

Atlanta (S)
Greensboro (Fr, Su)
1 NORTH CAROLINA
16 NORFOLK STATE

8 Notre Dame
9 Southern Miss

Portland, OR (Th, Sa)
5 Wichita State
12 VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH

4 Indiana
13 LONG BEACH STATE

Columbus (Fr, Su)
3 LOUISVILLE
14 SOUTH DAKOTA STATE

6 Unlv
11 Texas

Columbus (Fr, Su)
7 Cincinnati
10 Saint Louis

2 MICHIGAN STATE
15 LEHIGH

Boston (E)
Pittsburgh (Th, Sa)
1 Syracuse
16 NC-ASHEVILLE

8 Iowa State
9 Purdue

Nashville (Fr, Su)
5 Vanderbilt
12 North Carolina State/California

4 Georgetown
13 DAVIDSON

Albuquerque (Th, Sa)
3 Baylor
14 NEW MEXICO STATE

6 CREIGHTON
11 Brigham Young

Greensboro (Fr, Su)
7 San Diego State
10 XAVIER

2 Duke
15 LIU-BROOKLYN

First Four Games
Tuesday
16M MISSISSPPI VALLEY STATE vs. VERMONT
12W South Florida vs. Miami

Wednesday
16W LAMAR vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
12E North Carolina State vs. California

Last Six In: Colorado State, Seton Hall, South Florida, North Carolina State, California, Miami

Last Four Out: Mississippi State, Marshall, Drexel, Northwestern
Next Four Out: Washington, Iona, Oral Roberts, Mississippi

Bids By League: BIGE-10, ACC-6, BIG10-6, BIG12-6, MWC-4, SEC-4, ATL10-3, WCC-3, MVC-2, PAC12-2, USA-2

*I realize there is a potential rematch between BYU and Baylor in the round of 32, but with BYU's strict guidelines on where they can be placed (Th, Sa site) the rematch was unavoidable.
Posted on: March 10, 2012 6:23 pm
Edited on: March 11, 2012 12:56 am
 

Bracketology Update 3/10 6PM EST

It will be a busy night as a bracketologist trying to get teams in the correct region. An update to where I have teams seeded as of right now:

#1 seeds: Kentucky (Overall #1 seed), Syracuse, North Carolina, Missouri
#2 seeds: Michigan State, Kansas, Ohio State, Duke
#3 seeds: Marquette, Baylor, Michigan, Georgetown
#4 seeds: Wisconsin, Louisville, Florida State, Indiana
#5 seeds: Murray State, Wichita State, San Diego State, Vanderbilt
#6 seeds: UNLV, Florida, Temple, New Mexico
#7 seeds: Creighton, St. Mary's, Cincinnati, Notre Dame
#8 seeds: Memphis, Gonzaga, Iowa State, Kansas State
#9 seeds: Alabama, Purdue, Connecticut, Southern Miss
#10 seeds: Virginia, West Virginia, Xavier, Saint Louis
#11 seeds: Harvard, Texas, BYU, Seton Hall
#12 seeds: Colorado State, North Carolina State/California, South Florida/Miami, VCU
#13 seeds: Long Beach State, Arizona, Davidson, South Dakota State
#14 seeds: Akron, New Mexico State, Belmont, Montana
#15 seeds: Loyola (Md), Lehigh, LIU-Brooklyn, Detroit
#16 seeds: Norfolk State, UNC-Asheville, Lamar, Vermont, Mississippi Valley State, Western Kentucky

Last Six in: Seton Hall, Colorado State, North Carolina State, California, South Florida, Miami

Last Four Out: Marshall, Drexel, Northwestern, Mississippi State
Next Four Out: Washington, Iona, Oral Robers, Mississippi

Note: Despite the blowout loss to Memphis, don't be surprised if Marshall sneaks in tomorrow. They have four quality wins but four bad losses, very similar profile to what USC had last year.

Category: NCAAB
Tags: Bracketology
 
Posted on: March 9, 2012 12:42 am
 

Bracketology Update 3/8

Man it was crazy night for teams on the bubble tonight! Texas played their way in and Mississippi State played their way out. Washington and Northwestern's performances should've pushed them out, but there are no suitable replacements for them just yet.

No time for a full bracket so I'll just post the seeds as of now:

#1's: Syracuse, Kentucky, Kansas, North Carolina
#2's: Duke, Michigan State, Ohio State, Missouri
#3's: Marquette, Baylor, Michigan, Georgetown
#4's: Indiana, Wisconsin, Murray State, Louisville
#5's: Temple, Wichita State, UNLV, Florida
#6's: Vanderbilt, Creighton, San Diego State, Florida State
#7's: St. Mary's, Gonzaga, New Mexico, Notre Dame
#8's: Alabama, Iowa State, Kansas State, Memphis
#9's: Purdue, Southern Miss, Virginia, Connecticut
#10's: Cincinnati, St. Louis, California, Harvard
#11's: West Virginia, BYU, Texas, Colorado State
#12's: Seton Hall, Xavier, South Florida/Washington (First 4), VCU
#13's: Miami/Northwestern (First 4), Long Beach State, Nevada, Davidson
#14's: South Dakota State, Belmont, Akron, Montana
#15's: Loyola (MD), Lehigh, LIU-Brooklyn, Detroit
#16's: Norfolk State, UNC-Asheville, Mississippi Valley State/Stony Brook, Lamar/Western Kentucky

Last Six In: Seton Hall, Xavier, South Florida, Washington, Miami, Northwestern

Last Four Out: St. Joseph's, Iona, Dayton, Drexel
Next Four Out: Tennessee, Mississippi State, Oregon, NC State
Category: NCAAB
Posted on: January 2, 2012 5:47 pm
Edited on: January 3, 2012 4:34 pm
 

2012 Bracketology-First Edition

Welcome to the 1st edition of Lobofan2003's Bracketology. First of all, I hope everyone has a great and blessed New Year! This will be the 4th year that I do a bracketology; due to the lack of free time to devote to bracketology my updates will likely be less frequent than in past years, but I hope to put out a new bracket every couple of weeks or so until it cranks up in March.

About the Bracket: The way I do bracketology is always based on as if the season ended and today was Selection Sunday. I don't make determinations about a team will finish the season or base the bracket on what I think of a team, but rather how I believe the NCAA Tournament Committee would seed the teams. Some times teams are switched around in order to account for the NCAA Prinicples and Procedures that the Committee is supposed to follow in putting together a bracket (where teams from the same conference can be placed, attempting to avoid rematches, etc.)

I don't like to tout my own horn but I would like to point out, for anyone questioning my credentials as a Bracketologist, that I have been the 9th best bracketologist based on final bracket over the last 3+ years according to the Bracket Project Matrix http://bracketproject.50webs.com/ra
nkings.html
, beating Yahoo, Fox Sports, CBS and ESPN's bracketologists.

Automatic bids are noted in CAPS based on conference record (ties broken by highest RPI); this year the winner of the East Region will play the winner of the West Region and the winner of the South region will play the winner of the Midwest Region in the Final Four.

Without further ado the bracket....

Boston (E)
Pittsburgh (Th, Sa)
1 SYRACUSE
16 MAINE/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

8 Virginia
9 Alabama

Portland, OR (Th, Sa)
5 Gonzaga
12 Dayton

4 Kansas State
13 VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH

Omaha (Fr, Su)
3 Kansas
14 MIDDLE TENNESSEE

6 Virginia Tech
11 Saint Louis

Columbus (Fr, Su)
7 Florida
10 San Diego State

2 MICHIGAN STATE
15 ROBERT MORRIS

Phoenix (W)

Albuquerque (Th, Sa)
1 BAYLOR
16 LAMAR

8 Illinois
9 CALIFORNIA

Nashville (Fr, Su)
5 Purdue
12 Wichita State

4 Seton Hall
13 Memphis/Denver

Louisville (Th, Sa)
3 Indiana
14 SOUTH DAKOTA STATE

6 Marquette
11 New Mexico
 
Greensboro (Fr, Su)
7 TEMPLE
10 ST. MARY'S

2 North Carolina
15 WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE

Atlanta (S)

Louisville (Th, Sa)
1 KENTUCKY
16 BUCKNELL

8 Xavier
9 Minnesota

Albuquerque (Th, Sa)
5 UNLV
12 Arizona

4 Louisville
13 IONA 

Nashville (Fr, Su)
3 Georgetown
14 DAVIDSON

6 Michigan
11 MISSOURI STATE

Pittsburgh (Th, Sa)
7 HARVARD
10 OHIO

2 Ohio State
15 NORFOLK STATE

St. Louis (M)

Greensboro (Fr, Su)
1 DUKE
16 WEBER STATE/CHARLESTON SOUTHERN

8 West Virginia
9 Creighton

Portland, OR (Th, Sa)
5 Vanderbilt
12 Stanford/St. Joseph's

4 MURRAY STATE
13 BELMONT

Omaha (Fr, Su)
3 Missouri
14 LONG BEACH STATE

6 Wisconsin
11 SOUTHERN MISS

Columbus (Fr, Su)
7 Mississippi State
10 Northwestern

2 Connecticut
15 NEW MEXICO STATE   


Bids By League: BIG10-9, BIGE-7, ATL10-5, SEC-5, ACC-4, BIG12-4, MVC-3, MWC-3, PAC10-3, BELT-2, USA-2, WCC-2

Last Four In (Opening Round Games): Stanford, Saint Joseph's, Memphis, Denver

Last Four Out: Mississippi, Cleveland State, Northern Iowa, NC State
Next Four Out: Wagner, Pittsburgh, Oklahoma, BYU

Opening Round Games:

Tuesday

16E- MAINE (America East) vs. MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE (SWAC)
12M- St. Joseph's vs. Stanford

Wednesday
16M- WEBER STATE (Big Sky) vs. CHARLESTON SOUTHERN (Big South)
13W- Memphis vs. Denver

Posted on: March 13, 2011 5:33 pm
Edited on: March 13, 2011 5:34 pm
 

Bracketology Final Bracket-2011 NCAA Tournament

This is it, if there are any changes to be made it's not happening, I'm locking the bracket down.

With the Buckeyes winning the Big Ten Tournament they are the #1 overall seed and will play in the East Region. The winner of the East Region will play the winner of the West Region; winner of the Southwest Region will play the winner of the Southeast Region.

AUTO BIDS are in CAPS.

San Antonio (SW)
Tulsa (Fr, Su)
1 KANSAS vs. 16 NC-ASHEVILLE
8 UTAH STATE vs. 9 Villanova

Denver (Th, Sa)
5 St. John's vs. 12 Georgia
4 Wisconsin vs. 13 OAKLAND

Tampa (Th, Sa)
3 Florida vs. 14 INDIANA STATE
6 Arizona vs. 11 Michigan State

DC (Th, Sa)
7 Unlv vs. 10 RICHMOND
2 CONNECTICUT vs. 15 BOSTON U.

New Orleans (SE)
Charlotte (Fr, Su)
1 DUKE vs. 16 HAMPTON
8 Missouri vs. 9 Tennessee

Tuscon (Th, Sa)
5 West Virginia vs. 12 Penn State
4 Brigham Young vs. 13 BELMONT

Tampa (Th, Sa)
3 KENTUCKY vs. 14 LONG ISLAND
6 Georgetown vs. 11 GONZAGA

Tulsa (Fr, Su) 7 OLD DOMINION vs. 10 Marquette
2 Texas vs. 15 WOFFORD

Anaheim (W)
DC (Th, Sa)
1 Pittsburgh vs. 16 SANTA BARBARA/AR-LITTLE ROCK
8 Temple vs. 9 Illinois

Cleveland (Fr, Su)
5 Vanderbilt vs. 12 Virginia Tech/VCU
4 Louisville vs. 13 PRINCETON

Chicago (Fr, Su)
3 Purdue vs. 14 BUCKNELL
6 Kansas State vs. 11 Florida State

Tuscon (Th, Sa)
7 WASHINGTON vs. 10 BUTLER
2 SAN DIEGO STATE vs. 15 NORTHERN COLORADO

Newark (E)
Cleveland (Fr, Su)
1 OHIO STATE vs. 16 UTSA/ALABAMA STATE
8 George Mason vs. 9 Ucla

Denver (Th, Sa)
5 Texas A&M vs. 12 St. Mary's/Clemson
4 Syracuse vs. 13 MOREHEAD STATE

Charlotte (Fr, Su)
3 North Carolina vs. 14 ST. PETER'S
6 Cincinnati vs. 11 MEMPHIS

Chicago (Fr, Su)
7 Xavier vs. 10 Michigan
2 Notre Dame vs. 15 AKRON

First Four Games (Tu, We)

Tuesday
12E-St. Mary's vs. Clemson
16W-SANTA BARBARA vs. AR-LITTLE ROCK

Wednesday
16E-UTSA vs. ALABAMA STATE
12W-Virginia Tech vs. VCU

Last Four Out: Colorado, UAB, Harvard, Alabama
Bids By League: BIGE-11, BIG10-7, ACC-5, BIG12-5, SEC-5, ATL10-3, COL-3, MWC-3, PAC10-3, WCC-2


Posted on: March 11, 2011 6:53 pm
Edited on: March 11, 2011 7:04 pm
 

Bracketology 3/11/11-As of 7PM ET

Here is my latest bracket through 6PM ET on Friday. Bracket is if season ended today.

Lots of changes since Sunday, probably too many to list. Some key takeaways; despite what some bracketologists are saying Georgia is still in the field and Alabama is still out in my bracket even after their game today. Boston College is definitely out after getting blown out by Clemson.

Big bubble games tonight with Michigan State, Penn State, USC, Virginia Tech, and New Mexico trying to earn their way into the Tournament. Of those teams I only have Michigan State and Virginia Tech in for now, but both likely need to win in order to stay in the bracket.

Winner of the East Region will play the winner of the West Region; winner of the Southeast Region plays the winner of the Southwest Region.

Auto Bids are in CAPS and are the Conference Tournament winner or highest remaining seed in the conference tournament.

Newark (E)

Cleveland (Fr, Su)
1 OHIO STATE vs. 16 BETHUNE-COOKMAN/ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
8 OLD DOMINION vs. 9 Villanova

Denver (Th, Sa)
5 Texas A&M vs. 12 HARVARD
4 Louisville vs. 13 TEXAS-EL PASO

DC (Th, Sa)
3 Syracuse vs. 14 KENT STATE
6 ARIZONA vs. 11 GONZAGA

Charlotte (Fr, Su)
7 Missouri vs. 10 Richmond
2 Duke vs. 15 WOFFORD

Anaheim (W)

DC (Th, Sa)
1 Pittsburgh vs. 16 McNEESE STATE/TEXAS SOUTHERN
8 Ucla vs. 9 George Mason

Tampa (Th, Sa)
5 St. John's vs. 12 Clemson/Memphis
4 Kentucky vs. 13 OAKLAND

Charlotte (Fr, Su)
3 NORTH CAROLINA vs. 14 LONG ISLAND
6 Kansas State vs. 11 Michigan

Denver (Th, Sa)
7 Georgetown vs. 10 BUTLER
2 BRIGHAM YOUNG vs. 15 LONG BEACH STATE

New Orleans (SE)

Tulsa (Fr, Su)
1 KANSAS vs. 16 BOSTON UNIVERSITY
8 UTAH STATE vs. 9 Illinois

Cleveland (Fr, Su)
5 Vanderbilt vs. 12 Virginia Tech/Virginia Commonwealth
4 Connecticut vs. 13 BELMONT

Tuscon (Th, Sa)
3 San Diego State vs. 14 INDIANA STATE
6 Cincinnati vs. 11 Georgia

Chicago (Fr, Su)
7 Xavier vs. 10 Marquette
2 Purdue vs. 15 ST. PETER'S

San Antonio (SW)

Chicago (Fr, Su)
1 NOTRE DAME vs. 16 NC-ASHEVILLE
8 Florida State vs, 9 Tennessee

Tuscon (Th, Sa)
5 West Virginia vs. 12 Colorado
4 Wisconsin vs. 13 MOREHEAD STATE

Tampa (Th, Sa)
3 FLORIDA vs. 14 BUCKNELL
6 Unlv vs. 11 Michigan State

Tulsa (Fr, Su)
7 TEMPLE vs. 10 Washington
2 Texas vs. 15 NORTHERN COLORADO

Last Six Pack: Georgia, Colorado, Clemson, Memphis, Virginia Tech, VCU
Last Six Out: St. Mary's, Penn State, USC, Alabama, New Mexico, UAB

Bids By League: BIGE-11, BIG10-6, BIG12-6, ACC-5, SEC-5, ATL10-3, COL-3, MWC-3, PAC10-3, USA-2








Posted on: February 20, 2011 5:20 pm
 

Lobofan2003 Bracket 2/20/11-Bracket as of 4PM

Here is my latest bracket with the result of today's early afternoon games taken into account:

I discovered while I was swapping teams around that I had left Butler out of the bracket by accident, but they are in the bracket as an 11 seed. I think I had told some of you that regularly discuss bracketology that I had Gonzaga in as one of the Final Four, but they are knocked out to make room for Butler.

Winner of the East Region will play the winner of the West Region; winner of the Southwest Region will play the winner of the Southeast Region.

Auto Bids are in CAPS

N ewark (E)
Cleveland (Fr, Su)
1 OHIO STATE vs. 16 McNEESE STATE/TEXAS SOUTHERN
8 Old Dominion vs. 9 Georgia

Tuscon (Th, Sa)
5 Texas A&M vs. 12 UTEP
4 Villanova vs. 13 HARVARD

Tampa (Th, Sa)
3 FLORIDA vs. 14 COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON
6 ARIZONA vs. 11 Marquette

Chicago (Fr, Su)
7 XAVIER vs. 10 Michigan State
2 Notre Dame vs. 15 LONG BEACH STATE

A naheim (W)
Charlotte (Fr, Su)
1 DUKE vs. 16 LONG ISLAND
8 Cincinnati vs. 9 GEORGE MASON

DC (Th, Sa)
5 Vanderbilt vs. 12 CLEVELAND STATE
4 Connecticut vs. 13 MISSOURI STATE

Denver (Th, Sa)
3 Purdue vs. 14 COASTAL CAROLINA
6 St. John's vs. 11 Butler

Tulsa (Fr, Su)
7 Unlv vs. 10 UTAH STATE
2 TEXAS vs. 15 MIAMI (OH)

S an Antonio (SW)
Tulsa (Fr, Su)
1 Kansas vs. 16 MURRAY STATE
8 Illinois vs. 9 Tennessee

Cleveland (Fr, Su)
5 North Carolina vs. 12 Richmond/Southern Miss
4 Louisville vs. 13 OAKLAND

Charlotte (Fr, Su)
3 Georgetown vs. 14 VERMONT
6 Kentucky vs. 11 ST. MARY'S

Tuscon (Th, Sa)
7 Ucla vs. 10 Kansas State
2 SAN DIEGO STATE vs. 15 FAIRFIELD

New Orleans (SE)

DC (Th, Sa)
1 PITTSBURGH vs. 16 FLORIDA ATLANTIC/HAMPTON
8 Washington vs. 9 Minnesota

Tampa (Th, Sa)
5 Missouri vs. 12 Colorado State/Boston College
4 Syracuse vs. 13 BELMONT

Chicago (Fr, Su)
3 Wisconsin vs. 14 BUCKNELL
6 West Virginia vs. 11 Memphis

Denver (Th, Sa)
7 Temple vs. 10 Florida State
2 Brigham Young vs. 15 MONTANA

Last Four Out: Gonzaga, Nebraska, Virginia Tech, VCU

First Four

Tuesday

12(SE) Colorado State vs. Boston College
16(SE) Florida Atlantic vs. Hampton

Wednesday
16(E) McNeese State vs. Texas Southern
12(S) Richmond vs. Southern Miss






Posted on: February 14, 2011 12:45 am
Edited on: February 14, 2011 1:28 am
 

Bracketology 2/13/11

I tried to post this just now, but Firefox crashed on me so here goes attempt number two...

Southwest region champion will play the winner of the West region in the Final Four; winner of the Southeast region will play the winner of the East region.

Southwest Region (San Antonio)

Tulsa (Fr, Su)
1 Kansas vs. 16 HAMPTON
8 Old Dominion vs. 9 Minnesota

Tuscon (Th, Sa)
5 Kentucky vs. 12 UTEP
4 Syracuse vs. 13 VALPARAISO

Cleveland (Fr, Su)
3 Georgetown vs. 14 VERMONT
6 XAVIER vs. 11 Michigan State

Tuscon (Th, Sa)
7 St. John's vs. 10 Florida State
2 San Diego State vs. 15 MONTANA

West Region (Anaheim)

Tulsa (Fr, Su)
1 TEXAS vs. 16 LONG BEACH STATE
8 Tennessee vs. 9 GEORGE MASON

Tampa (Th, Sa)
5 North Carolina vs. 12 MISSOURI STATE
4 Purdue vs. 13 PRINCETON

3 FLORIDA vs. 14 BELMONT
6 ARIZONA vs. 11 Cincinnati/UAB

Denver (Th, Sa)
7 Temple vs. 10 Marquette
2 BRIGHAM YOUNG vs. 15 FAIRFIELD

Southeast Region (New Orleans)

Cleveland (Fr, Su)
1 OHIO STATE vs. 16 FLORIDA ATLANTIC/TEXAS ST.-SAN MARCOS
8 Ucla vs. 9 Boston College

Denver (Th, Sa)
5 Missouri vs. 12 UTAH STATE
4 Villanova vs. 13 OAKLAND

DC (Th, Sa)
3 Connecticut vs. 14 CHARLESTON
6 Vanderbilt vs. 11 Colorado State

Chicago (Fr, Su)
7 Illinois vs. 10 ST. MARY'S
2 Notre Dame vs. 15 KENT STATE

East Region (Newark)

DC (Th, Sa)
1 PITTSBURGH vs. 16 LONG ISLAND/TEXAS SOUTHERN
8 Unlv vs. 9 Georgia

Charlotte (Fr, Su)
5 Texas A&M vs. 12 Virginia Tech/Richmond
4 Louisville vs. 13 COASTAL CAROLINA

Chicago (Fr, Su)
3 Wisconsin vs. 14 BUCKNELL
6 West Virginia vs. 11 Butler

Charlotte (Fr, Su)
7 Washington vs. 10 Memphis
2 DUKE vs. 15 MURRAY STATE

FIRST FOUR (Dayton)

Tuesday
11(W) Cincinnati vs. UAB (AT-LARGE)
16 (E) LONG ISLAND vs. TEXAS SOUTHERN (AUTO BIDS)

Wednesday
16 (SE) FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. TEXAS ST.-SAN MARCOS (AUTO BIDS)
12 (E) Virginia Tech vs. Richmond (AT-LARGE)

Last Four Out:
Baylor, Oklahoma State, Cleveland State, Kansas State



 
 
 
 
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